Stock Deep Dives¶
One page per stock, each applying the full Bodie-Kane-Marcus toolkit: return and risk statistics (ch.5), index model, CAPM and Fama-French factors (ch.8–10), capital allocation (ch.6–7), earnings quality (ch.19), DCF / reverse DCF / PVGO (ch.18), earnings event studies (ch.11), technicals (ch.12), Treynor-Black (ch.27) and the options market (ch.20–21), plus a hand-written PEST analysis. Refreshed weekly.
Not investment advice
Rule-based, educational verdicts from public data. Read the individual page for the reasoning and caveats.
Scoreboard¶
The verdict counts eight checks: base DCF ≥ price, forward P/E ≤ 1.2× peers, de-biased analyst alpha > 0, 12-1 momentum > 0, price > 200-day MA, RSI < 70, revenue growing with positive FCF, and net cash.
| Stock | Sector | Price | Verdict | Checks | Base DCF vs price | Growth the price needs | Fwd P/E (peers) | Beta | 1Y return | Max DD 5Y | Hourly signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL Alphabet | Communication Services | 346.47 | Buy | 8/8 | +31% | 8% | 23.2x (23.1x) | 1.21 | +42% | -44% | – |
| MU Micron Technology | Technology | 1,063.96 | Buy | 7/8 | -16% | 16% | 5.1x (29.4x) | 2.23 | +467% | -58% | 🟢🟢 Strong Buy |
| NVDA NVIDIA | Technology | 238.90 | Buy | 7/8 | -1% | 30% | 15.1x (31.2x) | 2.21 | +28% | -66% | 🟢 Buy |
| SIRI Sirius XM Holdings | Communication Services | 26.31 | Buy | 7/8 | +73% | -5% | 8.0x (27.9x) | 0.99 | +18% | -74% | – |
| AMZN Amazon.com | Consumer Cyclical | 251.40 | Accumulate on weakness | 5/8 | -50% | 28% | 23.9x (32.6x) | 1.45 | +15% | -56% | – |
| DIDIY DiDi Global (ADR) | Technology | 3.71 | Accumulate on weakness | 5/8 | +180% | n/a | 2.4x (13.9x) | 0.50 | -45% | -91% | – |
| F Ford Motor | Consumer Cyclical | 12.15 | Accumulate on weakness | 5/8 | +53% | -10% | 6.2x (6.4x) | 1.95 | +0% | -57% | – |
| HOS Hornbeck Offshore Services | Industrials | 7.85 | Accumulate on weakness | 5/8 | +179% | 6% | 14.5x (16.8x) | 1.26 | +18% | -91% | – |
| PINS Pinterest | Communication Services | 20.06 | Accumulate on weakness | 5/8 | -18% | 15% | 8.4x (15.5x) | 0.89 | -37% | -83% | – |
| RTX RTX Corporation | Industrials | 184.33 | Accumulate on weakness | 5/8 | +51% | -3% | 23.5x (17.8x) | 0.31 | +12% | -33% | – |
| META Meta Platforms | Communication Services | 741.90 | Hold | 4/8 | -4% | 15% | 21.8x (22.2x) | 1.16 | +5% | -77% | – |
| MSFT Microsoft | Technology | 525.18 | Hold | 4/8 | -32% | 25% | 22.2x (23.0x) | 1.10 | +2% | -37% | – |
| SNAP Snap | Communication Services | 5.61 | Hold | 4/8 | +86% | -5% | 44.0x (18.4x) | 1.05 | -34% | -95% | – |
| SNDL SNDL Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 1.25 | Hold | 4/8 | +66% | -11% | 125.0x (21.0x) | 0.93 | -52% | -99% | – |
| VXRT Vaxart | Healthcare | 0.42 | Hold | 4/8 | -45% | 77% | n/m (n/m) | 1.02 | +17% | -100% | – |
| AAPL Apple | Technology | 332.89 | Hold (solid business, price already discounts it) | 4/8 | -41% | 23% | 34.8x (22.2x) | 1.07 | +29% | -33% | – |
| AMD Advanced Micro Devices | Technology | 649.42 | Hold (solid business, price already discounts it) | 4/8 | -57% | 53% | 41.3x (31.0x) | 2.46 | +219% | -65% | 🔴 Sell |
| INTC Intel | Technology | 116.19 | Hold (solid business, price already discounts it) | 4/8 | -84% | 62% | 55.8x (19.9x) | 2.23 | +215% | -71% | 🔴🔴 Strong Sell |
| PLTR Palantir Technologies | Technology | 189.40 | Hold (solid business, price already discounts it) | 4/8 | -60% | 61% | 80.8x (60.1x) | 1.56 | +9% | -85% | – |
| AI C3.ai | Technology | 11.09 | Reduce / Avoid | 3/8 | -87% | 84% | n/m (80.8x) | 2.09 | -42% | -96% | – |
| IONQ IonQ | Technology | 42.97 | Reduce / Avoid | 3/8 | -96% | 144% | n/m (16.9x) | 3.37 | -41% | -90% | – |
| RGTI Rigetti Computing | Technology | 15.15 | Reduce / Avoid | 3/8 | -93% | 179% | n/m (16.9x) | 1.97 | -62% | -97% | – |
| RIVN Rivian Automotive | Consumer Cyclical | 14.60 | Reduce / Avoid | 3/8 | -64% | 44% | n/m (16.6x) | 1.61 | +7% | -95% | – |
| SMCI Super Micro Computer | Technology | 43.19 | Reduce / Avoid | 3/8 | -52% | 23% | 8.1x (17.0x) | 2.01 | -17% | -85% | – |
| TSLA Tesla | Consumer Cyclical | 378.73 | Reduce / Avoid | 3/8 | -90% | 93% | 176.7x (6.2x) | 1.91 | -12% | -74% | – |
| LCID Lucid Group | Consumer Cyclical | 4.17 | Reduce / Avoid | 2/8 | -287% | 42% | n/m (16.6x) | 1.01 | -83% | -99% | – |
Last rebuilt 2026-10-06 20:27 UTC. 'Growth the price needs' is the reverse-DCF revenue growth after next year at the base-case margin.